Academic Scientific JournalsRelationships between the Baltic Sea ice extent and ice parameters in the sheltered basins of the southern Baltic coast
Keywords:
southern Baltic, sheltered basins, correlation, MIB, ice parametersAbstract
In the study, archive data on the maximum annual ice extent in the Baltic Sea (MIB) for the period 1961–2018 were used. They were obtained from the FIMR database. Data on ice parameters for the four largest southern Baltic coastal lakes: Jamno, Bukowo, Gardno and Łebsko, and for Szczecin, Puck, and Vistula Lagoons, come from the Maritime Branch of Institute of Meteorology and Water Management – National Research Institute (in Polish: Instytut Meteorologii i Gospodarki Wodnej – Państwowy Instytut Badawczy, IMGW-PIB) in Gdynia. The time series for the lakes cover the years from 1960 to 2018, and for the lagoons – from 1946 to 2018. Three ice parameters were selected for this study: the number of days with ice, the duration of the ice season and the maximum ice thickness for a given winter. Relationships between the selected ice parameters for the studied basins and the MIB were examined using correlation and regression methods.
Correlations between the MIB and values of the ice parameters for the lakes and the southern Baltic coastal lagoons do not differ significantly. Considerable differences are observed amongst the correlation coefficients for individual ice parameters and the MIB.
Larger differences are found in relationships between the values of individual ice parameters in the sheltered basins and the MIB. The strongest correlation with the MIB is observed for the maximum ice thickness and the number of days with ice.
Downloads
References
Betin, V.V. (1957). Ice conditions in the Baltic Sea and their long_term variability. Trudy Gosudarstvennogo Okeanograficheskogo Instituta 41: 54−125. (In Russian).
Brayshaw, D. (2005). Storm tracks under climate change, Retrieved December 10, 2017, from www.met.rdg.ac.uk.
Choiński, A. (2006). Catalogue of Polish Lakes. Poznań: Wydawnictwo Uniwersytetu im. A. Mickiewicza. (In Polish).
Choiński, A., Ptak, M. & Skowron, R. (2014). Trends to changes in ice phenomena in Polish lakes in the years 1951−2010. Przegląd Geograficzny 86(1): 23−40. DOI: 10.7163/PrzG.2014.1.2. (In Polish with English summary).
Girjatowicz, J.P. (1990). Ice cover atlas for Polish Baltic coastal waters. Szczecin: Wydawnictwo Akademii Rolniczej w Szczecinie. (In Polish with English summary).
Girjatowicz, J.P. (2003). Ice conditions in coastal lakes of the southern Baltic Sea. Ann. Limnol. − Int. J. Lim. 39(4): 317−331. DOI: 10.1051/limn/2003026.
Girjatowicz, J.P. (2007). Cataloque of ice conditions and thermic conditions on the Polish coast. Szczecin: Wydawnictwo Naukowe Uniwersytetu Szczecińskiego. (In Polish with English summary).
Girjatowicz, J.P. (2011). Ice conditions on the southern Baltic Sea coast. Journal of Cold Regions Engineering 25(1): 1−15. DOI: 10.1061/(ASCE)CR.1943-5495.0000020.
Girjatowicz, J.P., Chabior, M. & Matalewski, S. (1995). Ice phenomena in the Szczecin Lagoon. Czasopismo Geogra¬ficzne 66(2): 137−155 (In Polish with English summary).
Haapala, J., Ronkainen, I., Schmelzer, N. & Sztobryn, M. (2015). Recent change – sea ice. In the BACC II author team, Second assessment of climate change for the Baltic Sea basin (pp. 145–153). Geesthacht: International Baltic Sea Secretariat.
Janecki, M., Nowicki, A., Kańska, A., Golenko, M. & Dzierzbicka-Głowacka, L. (2018). Numerical simulations of sea ice conditions in the Baltic Sea for 2010–2016 winters using the 3D CEMBS model. Polish Maritime Research 25: 35–43.
Janérus, K. & Jansson, J.E. (Eds.). (1982). Ice Atlas for the Baltic Sea, Kattegat, Skagerrak and Lake Vanern (1963−1979). Norrköping: Sjöfortsverket.
Jańczak, J. (Ed.). (1997). Atlas of Polish lakes. Poznań: Wydawnictwo Naukowe Bogucki. (In Polish with English summary).
Jevrejeva, S., Drabkin, V.V., Kostjukov, J., Lebedev, A.A., Leparänta, M. et al. (2004). Baltic Sea season in the twentieth century. Climate Research 25(23): 217−227.
Karetnikov, S., Leppäranta, M. & Montonen, A. (2017). A time series of over 100 years of ice seasons on Lake Ladoga. Journal of Great Lakes Research 43 (6): 979−988.
Koslowski, G. & Loewe, P. (1994). The western Baltic Sea ice season in terms of mass−related severity index 1879−1992, Part I, Temporal variability and association with the North Atlantic Oscillation. Tellus 46A: 66−74. DOI: 10.1034/j.1600-0870.1994.00006.x.
Leppäranta, M. (2014). Interpretation of statistics of lake ice time series for climate variability. Hydrology Research 45 (4−5): 673−683.
Lepparänta, M. & Myrberg, K. (2009). Physical oceanography of the Baltic Sea. Berlin: Springer and Praxis Publishing.
Lepparänta, M., Palosuo, E., Grönvall, H., Kalliosaari, S., Seina, A. et al. (1988). Phases of the ice season in the Baltic Sea. Supplement 2, Helsinki: Finish Institute of marine Research.
Łazarienko, N.N. & Majewski, A. (Eds.). (1975). Hydrometeorological regime of Vistula Lagoon. Warszawa: Wydawnictwa Komunikacji i Łączności. (In Polish with English summary).
Łomnicki, A. (2014). Introduction in of statistics for naturalists scientists. Warszawa: Wydawnictwo Naukowe PWN. (In Polish).
Majewski, A. (Ed.). (1980). Szczecin Lagoon. Warszawa: Wydawnictwa Komunikacji i Łączności (In Polish with English summary).
Majewski, A. (Ed.). (1990). The Gulf of Gdańsk. Warszawa: Wydawnictwo Geologiczne (In Polish with English summary).
Maliński, J. (1971). Ice conditions in the Szczecin Lagoon. Warszawa: Wydawnictwa Komunikacji i Łączności (In Polish).
Marszelewski, W. & Skowron, R. (2009). Exstreme ice phenomena on the lakes of northern Poland. Limnological Review 9(2−3): 81−89.
Musielak, S. (1983). Puck Lagoon as example environment sedimentation of lagoon. In J. Giżejewski & A. Mielczarski (Eds.), Dynamics of the lithodynamic marine environment of the coastal zone (pp. 412–448). Prace Instytutu Budownictwa Wodnego Polskiej akademii Nauk 13(2). (In Polish).
Nowacki, J. (1976). Morphometric characteristics of the Puck Lagoon, Oceanogra¬ a 3: 33−40. (In Polish with English summary).
Nowacki, J. (1993). Morphometry of Puck Bay. In K. Korzeniewski (Ed.), Bay Puck (pp. 71−78), Gdańsk: Wydawnictwo Uniwersytetu Gdańskiego. (In Polish).
Omstedt, A. & Chen, D. (2001). Influence of atmospheric circulation on the maximum ice extent in the Baltic Sea. Journal of Geophysical Research 106(C3): 4493−4500. DOI: 10.1029/1999JC000173.
Omstedt, A., Elken, J., Lehmann, A., Lepparänta, M., Meier, H.E.M. et al. (2014). Progress in physical oceanography of the Baltic Sea during the 2003−2014 period. Progress in Oceanography 128: 139−171. DOI: 10.1016/j.pocean.2014.08.010.
Omstedt, A., Elken, J., Lehmann, A. & Piechura, J. (2004). Knowledge of the Baltic Sea physics gained during the BALTEX and related programmes. Progress in Oceanography 63: 1–28. DOI: 10.1016/j.pocean.2004.09.001.
Preobraženskij, J.V. (Ed.). (1960). Ice atlas of the Baltic Sea and regions near. Leningrad: Gidrometeorologiceskoje Izdatelstvo. (In Russian).
Ptak, M. (2013). Variability of temperature and ice phenomena on Łebsko and Gardno lakes (Słowiński National Park). Parki Narodowe i Rezerwaty Przyrody 32(2): 45−55. (In Polish with English summary).
Schmelzer N., Sztobryn, M. & Stanislawczyk, I. (1996). Ice conditions in Zalew Szczeciński (Stettiner Haff) and in Zatoka Pomorska (Pomeranian Bight) during the winter of 1995/96. German Journal of Hydrography 48(1): 89−95.
Seina, A. & Palosuo, E. (1993). The classification of the maximum annual extent of ice cover in the Baltic Sea. Meri 20: 5−20.
Seina, A. & Palosuo, E. (1996). The classification of the maximum annual extent of ice cover in the Baltic Sea 1720−1995. Meri 27: 79−91.
Skowron, R. (2009). Changeability of the ice cover on the lakes of northern Poland in the light of climatic changes. Bulletin of Geography. Physical Geography Series 1: 103−124. DOI: 10.2478/2312.
Styszyńska, A. (2010). Baltic sea ice cover and air temperaturę in Poland In E. Bednorz (Ed.), The climate of Poland against the background of the European climate. Thermal and pluvial conditions (pp. 95−105). Poznań: Wydawnictwo Naukowe Bogucki. (In Polish with English summary).
Szefler, K. (1993). Ice conditions. In: Korzeniewski, K. (Ed.), Puck Lagoon (pp. 112−134), Gdańsk: Wydawnictwo Uniwersytetu Gdańskiego. (In Polish).
Sztobryn, M., Wójcik, R. & Miętus, M. (2012). Ascent of the Baltic ice – current condition and expected changes in the future. In J. Wibig & E. Jakusik (Eds.), Climatic and oceanographic conditions in the South Baltic (pp. 189−215), Warszawa: Wydawnictwo IMGW-PIB. (In Polish).
Time Series Analysis. Section III (2010). Oxford: Department of Statistics, University Oxford.
Vihma, T. & Haapala, J. (2009). Geophysics of sea ice in the Baltic Sea: a review. Progress in Oceanography 80: 129–148. DOI: 10.1016/j.pocean.2009.02.002.
Zorina, W. & Maliński, J. (1975). Ice conditions. In N.N. Łazarienko & A. Majewski (Eds.), Hydrometeorological regime of Vistula Lagoon (pp. 318−359). Warszawa: Wydawnictwa Komunikacji i Łączności. (In Polish with En glish summary).
