The dark side of intractable conflicts: Unveiling the causes and implications of the Israel – Hamas war
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.26881/jpgs.2025.3.02Keywords:
conflict, internal displacement, military, terrorism, two-state solutionAbstract
The long-standing Israeli-Palestinian conflict is the foundation of the Israel-Hamas War. The Israeli-Palestinian conflict began toward the end of the 1800s. Israelis and Palestinians created separate movements to protect their own interests as they fought for sovereignty over the region and the right to self-determination. Israel’s independence in 1948 expanded its control resulting to large displacement of Palestinians which was considered as “Nakba,” or “catastrophe” in the Arab World. This study attempts to explore the current Israeli-Hamas war and its causes and implications. The escalation theory was used as the theoretical underpinning. The study was based on a documentary research design. Findings showed that Hamas’s perception of «Israeli excesses» was what set off the current Israeli-Hamas conflict. The implications of the conflict were identified to include economic upheavals, the potential of contagion, increased political polarization, novel strategic challenges, and the evolving character of warfare as a result of aggressive non-state players. The study recommends the adoption of a two-state solution as the most potent resolution of the Israeli-Hamas war.
Downloads
References
Ahmed J. U., 2010, Documentary research method: New dimensions. Indus Journal of Management and Social Sciences, 4(1), 1-14. http://ideas.repec.org/s/iih/journl.html (accessed 24 March 2024).
Asad T., 2024, Reflections on the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, https://humanityjournal.org/blog/reflections-on-the-israeli-palestinian-conflict/ (accessed 10 May 2024)
Banco E., 2023, Gaza hostage talks hit roadblock, raising fears of prolonged captivity, Politico, December 7.
Beauchamp Z., 2023, What are Israel and Palestine? Why are they fighting?, https://www.vox.com/2018/11/20/18080002/israel-palestine-conflict-history-overview-map (accessed 13 March 2024).
Bergman R., Goldman A., 2023, Israel knew Hamas’ attack plan more than a year ago, New York Times, November 30.
Beyer L., 2023, Your guide to understanding the roots of the Israel-Hamas war, Bloomberg, New York.
Carlson L.J., 1995, A theory of escalation and international conflict, Journal of Conflict Resolution, 39(3), 511–534.
Center for Strategic and International Studies [CSIS], 2023, Experts react: Assessing the Israeli intelligence and potential policy failure, CSIS, Washington, DC.
Clavijo J., 2024, The failings of Israeli and Palestinian leadership, https://saisreview.sais.jhu.edu/the-failings-of-israeli-and-palestinian-leadership/ (accessed 10 May 2024).
Corbett M., 2013, Oil shock of 1973-74. Federal Reserve History. https://www.federalreservehistory.org/essays/oil-shock-of-1973-74 (accessed 13 March 2024).
Corder M., Casert R., 2024, Israel defends itself at the UN’s top court against allegations of genocide in Gaza, https://wwwapnews.com/article/world-court-israel-genocide-gaza-south-africa-65b087102893dd06222370b10f0b4e4d (accessed 13 March 2024).
Cordesman A.H., 2023, Gaza: Why the war won’t end, Center for Strategic and International Studies [CSIS], Washington, DC.
Council on Foreign Relations [CFR], 2024, Israel-Palestinian Conflict, CFR, New York.
Cross J. C., 1969, The economics of bargaining, Basic Books, New York.
Crowley M., Wong E., 2023, Under scrutiny over Gaza, Israel points to civilian toll of U.S. wars, New York Times, November 7.
Debre I., 2023, What to know as the war between Israel and Hamas continues, https://www.pds.org/newshour/world/what-to-know-as-the-war-between-israel-and-hamas-continues (accessed 20 February 2024).
Downe-Wamboldt B., 1992, Content analysis: Method, application, and issues. Health Care for Women International, 13(3), 313-321. doi: 10.1080/07399339209516006
FocusEconomics, 2023, The Hamas-Israel conflict: Economic implications, https://www.focus-economics.com/blog/the-hamas-israel-conflict-economic-implications (accessed 24 March 2024).
Harwood T. G., Garry T., 2003, An overview of content analysis. The Marketing Review, 3(4), 479-498. doi:10.1362/146934703771910080
Human Rights Watch, 2021, A threshold crossed: Israeli authorities and the crimes of apartheid and persecution, https://www.hrw.org/report/2021/04/27/threshold-crossed/israeli-authorities-and-crimes-apartheid-and-persecution (accessed 24 March 2024).
International Crisis Group [ICG], 2021, The Israel-Palestine crises: Causes, consequences, portents, https://crisisgroup.org/middle-east-north-africa/east-mediterranean-mena/israelpalestine/israel-palestine-crisis-causes (accessed 13 March 2024).
Kahn H. C., 1965, On escalation: Metaphors and scenarios, Praeger, New York.
Lawal S., 2024, ICJ genocide case: What are Israel’s argument and do they hold up?, https://www.aljazerra.com/news/2024/1/12/icj-genocide-case-what-are-israels-main-arguments (accessed 4 April 2024).
Mogalakwe M., 2006, The use of documentary research methods in social research. African Sociological Review, 10(1), 221-230. https://www.jstor.org/stable/afrisocirevi.10.1.221 (accessed 10 May 2024).
Morgan T.C., 1990, Power, resolve and bargaining in international crises, International Interactions, 15, 279–302.
Morgan T.C., 1994, Untying the knot of war: A theory of bargaining in international crises, University of Michigan Press, Michigan. doi: 10.3998/mpub.12837
Pelley S., 2023, President Joe Biden: The 2023 60 minutes interview transcript, CBS News, October 15.
Pillar P. R., 1983, Negotiating peace: War termination as a bargaining process, Princeton University Press, New Jersey.
Schelling T.C., 1960, The strategy of conflict, Harvard University Press, Massachusetts.
Schelling T.C., 1966, Arms and influence, Yale University Press, Connecticut. doi: 10.2307/j.ctt5vm52s
Shaath A., Owda R., 2023, Hamas’ October attacks and the Israeli war on Gaza: Reflections from Palestinians, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, Washington, DC.
Sharma M., 2022, Explained: The Israel-Palestine conflict, the two-state solution, and why it has failed so far, https://www.outlookindia.com/international/explained-the-israel-palestine-conflict-the-two-state-solution-and-why-it-has-failed-so-far-news-209734 (accessed 24 March 2024).
Snyder G.H., 1972, Crises bargaining, [in:] C.F. Hermann (ed.), International crises: Insights from behavioral research, Free Press, New York, 217–256.
United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs [UN-OCHA], 2024, Hostilities in the Gaza strip and Israel, UN-OCHA, New York.
United States Department of State, n.d., Oil embargo 1973-1974, Office of the Historian, Foreign Service Institute, https://history.state.gov/milestones/1969-1976/oil-embargo (accessed 13 March 2024).
Verbruggen Y., 2023, The Israel-Hamas conflict, International Bar Association, London.
Voice of America [VOA] Middle East, 2023, What we know: Israel-Hamas conflict, https://www.voanews.com/a/what-we-know-israel-hamas-conflict/7302025.html (accessed 24 March 2024).
Westfall S., Murphy B., Taylor A., Pietsch B., Salcedo A., 2023, The Israel-Palestinian conflict: A chronology, https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2023/israel-palestine-conflict-timeline-history-explained (accessed 24 March 2024).
Wright R., 2023, The five global dangers from the Gaza war. Wilson Center, Washington, DC.
Young O. R., 1968, The politics of force: Bargaining during international crises, Princeton University Press, New Jersey.
Zanotti J., Sharp J. M., 2024, Israel and Hamas conflict in brief: Overview, U.S. policy, and options for Congress, Congressional Research Service, Washington, DC
Academic Scientific Journals
