The labor market in Poland and the war in Ukraine

Authors

Keywords:

labor market, migrations, wages, unemployment

Abstract

The aim of the article is the assessment of the impact of Ukrainian refugees on the Polish labor market, specifically on real wages, unemployment rate, and the employment level in Poland. The author presents the theoretical aspects of the labor market in economics, taking into account migration theory and the effects of population flows on the labor market.

Then, the scale of the influx of refugees from Ukraine to Poland is outlined, along with the situation of the labor market before and during the Russian aggression against Ukraine. Using statistical data analysis and correlation analysis, conclusions are drawn regarding the impact of Ukrainian refugees on real wages, their dynamics, unemployment rate, and the employment level.

 

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

Author Biography

Tymoteusz Ochrymiuk, Uniwersytet Szczeciński

a master’s student in Economics at the Faculty of Economics, Finance,
and Management at the University of Szczecin. Research interests: macroeconomics and microeconomics,
fiscal policy, monetary policy, central banking, business cycle theory, monetary theory,
history of economic thought, Austrian School of Economics.

References

Adamowicz, M., Siedlanowski, M. (2021). Migracja jako uwarunkowanie rynku pracy w Polsce. W: A. Siedlecka, D. Guzal-Dec (red.), Rynek pracy wobec wyzwań przyszłości – ujęcie interdyscyplinarne. Biała Podlaska.

Bodvarsson, Ö., Lewer, J., Van den Berg, H. (2007). Measuring Immigration’s Effects on Labor Demand: A Reexamination of the Mariel Boatlift. IZA Discussion Papers, No. 2919.

Brzozowski, J. (2011). Ekonomiczne teorie migracji międzynarodowych. Zeszyty Naukowe Uniwersytetu Ekonomicznego w Krakowie, nr 855.

Card, D. (1989). The impact of the Mariel Boatlift on the Miami labour market. NBER Working Paper Series, No. 3069.

Chassamboulli, A., Palivos, T. (2013). The Impact of Immigration on the Employment and Wages of Native Workers. Journal of Macroeconomics, No. 38.

Chmielewska-Kalińska, I., Dudek, B., Strzelecki, P. (2023). Sytuacja życiowa i ekonomiczna migrantów z Ukrainy w Polsce – wpływ pandemii i wojny na charakter migracji w Polsce. Narodowy Bank Polski, Warszawa.

Cohen-Goldner, S., Paserman, M. (2004). The Dynamic Impact of Immigration on Natives’ Labor Market Outcomes: Evidence from Israel. European Economic Review, No. 55.

Cymanow, P. (2010). Przegląd teorii migracji w świetle współczesnych wyjazdów zarobkowych. Krakowskie Studia Małopolskie, nr 14.

Dustmann, C., Frattini, T., Preston, I. (2013). The effect of immigration along the distribution wages. Review Of Economic Studies, No. 80.

Edo, A. (2015). The Impact of Immigration on Native Wages and Employment. The BE Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy, No. 15.

Friedberg, R., Hunt, J. (1995). The Impact of Immigrants on Host Country Wages, Employment and Growth. Journal of Economic Perspectives, No. 9.

Jaskułowski, K., Pawlak, M. (2016). Główne teorie migracji międzynarodowych: przegląd, krytyka, perspektywy. Sprawy Narodowościowe Seria Nowa, nr 48.

Kerr, S., Kerr, W. (2011). Economic impacts of immigration: a survey. NBER Working Paper Series, No. 16736.

Longhi, S., Nijkamp, P., Poot, J. (2005). A meta-analytic assessment of the effects of immigrations on wages. Journal of Economic Surveys, No. 19.

Mankiw, N., Taylor, M. (2022a). Mikroekonomia. Warszawa.

Mankiw, N., Taylor, M. (2022b). Makroekonomia. Warszawa.

Miłaszewicz, D. (red.) (2011). Podstawy makroekonomii. Szczecin.

Moreno-Galbis, E., Tritah, A. (2014). Effects of Immigrations in Frictional Labor Markets: Theory and Empirical Evidence from EU Countries. European Economic Review, No. 84.

Ottaviano, G., Peri, G. (2008). Immigration and national wages: Clarifying the theory and empirics. NBER Working Paper Series, No. 14188.

Sieroń, A. (2016). Wpływ imigracji na rynek pracy. Rynek-Społeczeństwo-Kultura, t. 2, nr 18.

Zyzik, R., Baszczak, Ł., Rozbicka, I., Wielechowska, M. (2023). Refugees from Ukraine in the Polish labour market: opportunities and obstacles. Polish Economic Institute, Warsaw.

Published

2025-12-29

How to Cite

Ochrymiuk, T. (2025). The labor market in Poland and the war in Ukraine. Progress, 1(16), 233–248. Retrieved from https://czasopisma.bg.ug.edu.pl/index.php/Progress/article/view/13317